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I9I2] M. SAZONOFF’S APATHY 107
threatening warnings and reproaches which were almost
ultimatums. But it was too late !
At the time I explained this impenitent optimism of
St. Petersburg to myself in the following way: our
Foreign Office was certain that without the help of
Serbia, the Bulgarians would never make up their minds
to move; moreover, no one in our country doubted the
obedience and good behaviour of the Serbians ; and
M. Hartwig took great care not to report to the
Foreign Office what was really happening in Belgrade,
as it might shatter our illusions.
But later on 1 came to the conclusion that the
behaviour of my colleague in Belgrade did not
represent so much a cause of ulterior events as one of the
symptoms of our way of tackling political questions.
Our diplomatic chiefs in St. Petersburg, simply, were
filled with what M. Isvolsky, in a speech made at the
Duma some time before, had called " healthy optimism,"
and which had led Russia then to the brink of war !
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